Multiclass vector auto‐regressive models for multistore sales data

Vector Autoregressive Models

Order selection for vector autoregressive models

Order-selection criteria for vector autoregressive (AR) modeling are discussed. The performance of an order-selection criterion is optimal if the model of the selected order is the most accurate model in the considered set of estimated models: here vector AR models. Suboptimal performance can be a result of underfit or overfit. The Akaike information criterion (AIC) is an asymptotically unbiase...

a new approach to credibility premium for zero-inflated poisson models for panel data

هدف اصلی از این تحقیق به دست آوردن و مقایسه حق بیمه باورمندی در مدل های شمارشی گزارش نشده برای داده های طولی می باشد. در این تحقیق حق بیمه های پبش گویی بر اساس توابع ضرر مربع خطا و نمایی محاسبه شده و با هم مقایسه می شود. تمایل به گرفتن پاداش و جایزه یکی از دلایل مهم برای گزارش ندادن تصادفات می باشد و افراد برای استفاده از تخفیف اغلب از گزارش تصادفات با هزینه پائین خودداری می کنند، در این تحقیق ...

Estimating Structured Vector Autoregressive Models

While considerable advances have been made in estimating high-dimensional structured models from independent data using Lasso-type models, limited progress has been made for settings when the samples are dependent. We consider estimating structured VAR (vector auto-regressive model), where the structure can be captured by any suitable norm, e.g., Lasso, group Lasso, order weighted Lasso, etc. I...

Bayesian Estimates for Vector - Autoregressive Models

This paper examines frequentist risks of Bayesian estimates of VAR regression coefficient and error covariance matrices under competing loss functions, under a variety of non-informative priors, and in the normal and Student-t models. Simulation results show that for the regression coefficient matrix an asymmetric LINEX estimator does better overall than the posterior mean. For the error covari...